Covid-19 Executive Briefing
Understanding the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and the implications for the oil & gas sector
- ECONOMIC IMPACT -
Latest update: 21 July
Many economists have cut their GDP forecasts. The 2020 consensus forecast for GDP growth is currently negative and many predict a recession.
Major market indices are improving and, while concern over Covid-19 remains volatile, business optimism continues to improve.
The Israeli Finance Ministry expects its economy to contract by 5.9% in 2020;
further lockdowns could cause the economy to fall by 7.2%.
The IMF estimates growth of -4.7% for the Middle East and Central Asian region.
Impact of Covid-19 on employment
- SECTOR IMPACT: oil & gas -
Latest update: 15 July
GlobalData analyst view:
"The oil & gas industry has been heavily impacted on all fronts as falling demand and geopolitical ambitions are greatly impacting company finances. The upstream sector will bear the brunt of the Covid-19 outbreak as the falling oil prices will impact production economics."
Global oil and gas demand remains uncertain in the near term as a resurgence of COVID-19 infections may force countries to re-impose partial lockdowns.
After a 16 % year-on-year fall in Q2, IEA expects a slight
improvement in oil demand during H2 2020.
However, oil prices are likely to remain under pressure and would significantly impact company revenues – BP Plc anticipates a $17.5bn write down in Q2 due to low prices.
impact on capital expenditure